Featured image of post I Ran the Retail-Trader Hunt on the Data: Zero Survivors, but a Real Edge Exists — It Just Lives in the Machines

I Ran the Retail-Trader Hunt on the Data: Zero Survivors, but a Real Edge Exists — It Just Lives in the Machines

Pulled fills + funding + ledger for CoinLobster's 60 wallets from the Hyperliquid Info API and independently recomputed net-after-funding profit. 7-gate filter: zero survivors. Funding recalculation flips 11 'profitable' wallets net-negative. Of 21 'old + net-profitable' candidates, 16 have statistically-significant edge — but all 16 are multi-coin systematic bots trading 84-204 tokens; zero are concentrated retail directional traders. Pattern extraction + direct measurement: 16/16 pay funding (not arbitrage), median hold 35.6h, cross-coin simultaneity 3.4% (sequential, not rebalancing); reconstructed on-chain price from the 60 wallets' fills and measured pre-entry return — entry signals SPLIT (~9/16 momentum, 7/16 mean-reversion, median corr +0.05); a right-skewed PnL does NOT imply momentum entry, the unifying edge is asymmetric exits (let winners run, cut losers), not the entry signal.

Featured image of post I Went Looking for a Retail Perpetual Futures Trader to Copy — Didn't Find One, and Probably Never Will

I Went Looking for a Retail Perpetual Futures Trader to Copy — Didn't Find One, and Probably Never Will

16 agents, three search engines cross-checked plus adversarial verification, hunting for a trader who is 'public + independently verifiable + over 2 years + retail + perpetual futures + net profitable after funding.' All 5 candidates died on HFT/market-making fingerprints, zero survivors. The hardest blocker isn't insufficient data — it's that 'retail' identity is structurally unprovable inside anonymous on-chain wallets. But I did dig up two datasets genuinely usable for reverse engineering.

Featured image of post A Telegram Bot for Monitoring Crypto Technical Indicators: A Deep Dive into Every Open-Source Option

A Telegram Bot for Monitoring Crypto Technical Indicators: A Deep Dive into Every Open-Source Option

4 parallel agents, 20+ candidates first-hand verified via the GitHub API: Freqtrade (54k stars) is the only one that checks every box — OKX perpetuals + indicator-driven + two-way Telegram + button-confirmed orders + dry-run; TradingView webhooks turn out to be a paid feature; Hummingbot has no Telegram at all, and Jesse doesn't support OKX.

Featured image of post LynxCrypto Kicks Off (Part 2): I Turned the Strategy Into Code, Then Falsified It Myself

LynxCrypto Kicks Off (Part 2): I Turned the Strategy Into Code, Then Falsified It Myself

I built a 15m range mean-reversion strategy into a backtestable event-driven engine, then punched myself in the face with 180 days of real ZEC data: the gross edge of naive mean reversion is roughly zero — not because risk management failed, but because fees and slippage crushed it into negative expectancy. 107 tests all green, four iron rules welded into the code.

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