永续合约 on Lynx Tech Blog

I Ran the Retail-Trader Hunt on the Data: Zero Survivors, but a Real Edge Exists — It Just Lives in the Machines

Sun, 06 Sep 2026 10:00:00 +0800

My previous post ended with “didn’t find that retail trader, probably never will.” This one is what happened when I actually ran the data: zero survivors. But the sentence more valuable than “didn’t find one” is this — the data does contain a statistically-significant trading edge, but it lives entirely in multi-coin systematic strategies, and not a single one of them is “a human making directional calls on a few instruments.” Real edge exists, ju

I Went Looking for a Retail Perpetual Futures Trader to Copy — Didn't Find One, and Probably Never Will

Sun, 06 Sep 2026 09:00:00 +0800

Let me start with the conclusion — also the most valuable sentence in this entire post: I looked, and I didn’t find one. Under the combined constraint of “public + independently verifiable + over 2 years + retail + perpetual futures + net profitable after funding,” not a single trader survived verification. All five candidates were rejected, zero survivors. But more important than “didn’t find one” is the second sentence: this question, under the bar I set, m