https://blog.lynxflow.co/en/tags/fdr/Recent content in FDR on Lynx Tech BlogHugo -- gohugo.ioenTue, 08 Sep 2026 00:00:00 +0800https://blog.lynxflow.co/en/posts/alphatrace-honest-quant-2026/Tue, 08 Sep 2026 00:00:00 +0800https://blog.lynxflow.co/en/posts/alphatrace-honest-quant-2026/<img src="https://blog.lynxflow.co/images/alphatrace-honest-quant-2026.png" alt="Featured image of post 39 Trades, 10 Hypotheses — and the Top-Matching Strategy Rests on Just 3 Data Points" />TL;DR I fed 39 on-chain trades into 10 competing strategy hypotheses on AlphaTrace, the quant analysis platform I built myself, hoping to find &ldquo;what method these trades are most likely following.&rdquo; The top-ranked strategy ended up resting on just 3 valid data points, and its explanatory power was the lowest of all ten hypotheses — it took the crown purely because it&rsquo;s the simplest. That&rsquo;s not a bug. This is what an honest quant analysis is supposed to look like: the explan