https://blog.lynxflow.co/en/tags/macro/Recent content in Macro on Lynx Tech BlogHugo -- gohugo.ioenWed, 16 Sep 2026 00:00:00 +0800https://blog.lynxflow.co/en/posts/fed-hike-crypto-24h-history/Wed, 16 Sep 2026 00:00:00 +0800https://blog.lynxflow.co/en/posts/fed-hike-crypto-24h-history/<img src="https://blog.lynxflow.co/images/fed-hike-crypto-24h-btc.png?v=091716" alt="Featured image of post Do Crypto Prices Rise or Fall 24 Hours After a Fed Hike? I Computed All 20 Hikes" /> Conclusion first: the hike itself does not decide the direction of crypto prices. Across 20 hikes, BTC&rsquo;s average 24-hour move is just −0.3%, with a 45% vs 55% rise/fall split — statistically a coin flip. What actually moves the market is the wording on the future path that Powell delivers at the press conference half an hour after the decision — there was one case of a second consecutive 75bp hike that coincided with a broad 10%+ rally, precisely because the press conference came out dovi